Last Weeks Summary
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Key Highlights & Market Context
Overall Trend: After a dip early in the week, the Nasdaq-100 futures rebounded, climbing closer to its 52-week high of ~24,068.50.
Jobs Data & Fed Expectations: A weak U.S. non farm payroll report for August just 22,000 jobs added versus expectations of 75,000 sent futures higher (Nasdaq-100 rising ~0.65%) on heightened expectations of Fed rate cuts.
Sector Drivers: Broadcom’s strong earnings and optimistic AI revenue guidance boosted sentiment, helping lift Nasdaq and S&P futures.
Summary: Early-week weakness (on Sept 2) gave way to a recovery through Fri, largely driven by dovish Fed speculation and tech sector optimism. Gains, however, were modest as investors awaited more clarity.
Weekly Summary: NASDAQ-100 Futures (Sept 1–5, 2025)
Start: 23,444.50 (–0.07%)
Midweek Low: 23,275.00 (–0.72% on Sept 2)
Recovery Phase:
+0.75% on Sept 3
+0.94% on Sept 4
Close: 23,684.00 (+0.07% on Sept 5)
Driver: Weak jobs data and Broadcom’s upbeat earnings outlook
Upcoming - U.S. High-Impact ("Red Folder") Events: Week of Sept 8–12, 2025
Monday, September 8
No high-impact (red) U.S. events scheduled.
All data releases (like consumer credit at 3 PM) are considered lower in Forex Factory’s red-impact category.
Tuesday, September 9
No high-impact U.S. events.
Events such as NFIB Small Business Index and QCEW employment revisions are medium to low impact per Forex Factory filters.
Wednesday, September 10
Producer Price Index (PPI) – U.S. (m/m)
Core PPI (PPI excluding food & energy) – U.S. (m/m)
These inflation measures are typically marked high-impact when they deviate from expectations.
Thursday, September 11
Weekly Unemployment Claims – U.S.
Consumer Price Index (CPI) – U.S. (m/m)
Core CPI – U.S. (m/m)
These are firmly high-impact releases, especially CPI and Core CPI, given their influence on inflation trends and the Federal Reserve’s outlook
Friday, September 12
Preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index – U.S.
This indicator is typically flagged high-impact, as it reflects consumer confidence and inflation expectations.
Disclaimer: Trading Predictions
The trading predictions and market analyses provided on this blog are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument.
All views expressed are based on the author’s opinions, personal trading experience, and interpretation of market conditions. While every effort is made to ensure accuracy, there is no guarantee that any prediction or analysis will prove to be correct.
Trading financial markets involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. You should always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
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